Ebitda Multiple Comps Anzi Windfarm

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Ebitda Multiple Comps Anzi Windfarm

2 minutes
May 25, 2023 10:21 pm
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In April, Fri-El Green Power SpA’s subsidiary, Alerion Clean Power SpA, purchased 51% of Fri-El Anzi Srl, an Italian firm that manages an electric power generation facility in Bolzano. The acquisition was completed for a sum of €18.8M.

The company has been operating an onshore windfarm in Anzi, Italy since June 2011. The windfarm consists of eight Vestas V90/2000 turbines (2,00 MW) and is eligible for a 15-year feed-in tariff (FIT) scheme.

Since 2019, Anzi Onshore Windfarm has experienced a significant increase in revenue, with sales rising from €4.9M to €8M in 2021 and an estimated €9M+ for 2023. This can be attributed to the increase in the spot price of electricity in Italy, which surged briefly to above 600 EUR/MWh in 2022 and can be expected to stay high (above 100 EUR/MWh). The windfarm sells its electricity into the wholesale market, and any increase in the spot price above the FIT rate has a direct positive impact on revenue.

Table 1: Key Metrics for Anzi Onshore Windfarm

Year 2023 (est.) 2021 2020 2019
Anzi Onshore Windfarm Sales c. EUR9M EUR8M EUR4M EUR4.9M
EBITDA c. EUR8M EUR7M EUR3.2M EUR4.1M
Total Assets c. EUR22M EUR20M EUR17.8M EUR19.2M

 

*Source: Annual Report Data, EDHEC Infrastructure and Private Assets Research Institute

Table 2 uses infraMetrics data to estimate a range of valuation ratios for windfarms in the United Kingdom. On a price-to-sales basis (3.6x), the deal seems fairly priced with an implied equity valuation of 34ME, a little below the realised value of 3.9x. On an EV-to-Ebitda basis, this transaction appears to be a good deal for the buyers, especially given its level of profits. However, this deal was announced as part of a tranche of several windfarm deals between the same buyers and sellers and this is likely to have affected pricing. It also suggests, as a number of actors have started to notice, that renewable asset prices are not always going up anymore.

Table 2: Price/Sales and EV/EBITDA Valuation Ranges

 

Equivalent quintile Average Price-to-Sales Average EV-to-Ebitda
by Size (TA) 3.5 7.6
by Profitability (RoA) 3.6 14.5
by Leverage 4.4 7.0
by Investment (Capex/TA) 3.5 7.6
by Remaining Life 3.1 6.1
by Country Risk 3.4 7.9
     
Average ratios (Comps)* 3.6 8.3
Implied Equity Valuation 34ME 61ME
Actual Price 36.9ME
Actual Ratio 3.9 5.15
Source: infraMetrics, *EV estimated to be 40ME